Japan's concerted efforts to escape from the doldrums of decades of
deflation and reduce its public debt burden at twice the size of the
nation's economy have been packaged into a well-publicized policy
initiative spearheaded by Prime Minister Shinzo Abe and dubbed
"Abenomics."The three-pronged strategy to kickstart the world's third-
largest economy has involved massive amounts of fiscal stimulus and
moves by the central bank to ease monetary policy to fortify expenditure
by multi-sized corporations and emerging enterprises here, as increased
deregulation has sought to encourage more investment in "special zones"
by making more capital available to startups and businesses looking to
relocate to, or expand in Japan.Investor optimism and appetite has been
lifted to a degree on the back of the government's fiscal moves in twine
with the Bank of Japan (BOJ) and has been reflected and bolstered by a
relatively bullish stock market and underpinned by a consumer price
index which indicates the nation is moving in the right direction away
from deflation, as consumer costs chart an upward trajectory.But the
road ahead remains a potentially fraught one for such an aggressive
policy initiative, with the central bank under intense pressure to hit
the government's 2 percent inflation target in 2014,knife sets meaning
the BOJ will almost certainly have to roll out further fiscal stimulus
measures to engineer the achieving of this target,MB STAR or
risk losing investor confidence at a precarious time, as Abe seeks to
hike the sales tax from 5 percent to 8 percent in April 2014 and to 10
percent a year later."But the questions on all economists' lips are, 'Is
the embryonic uptick sustainable, have the right mechanisms been put
into place to cushion the inevitable toll the tax hike will take and
will Abe's third arrow -- structural reform -- the most critical prong
in the Abenomics approach, be achieved in a pragmatic and sustainable
manner to underpin the entire economic reformatory process?'" Sinclair
said.
Sinclair intimated that the first two prongs of Abe's
approach seemed to be hitting their targets, with massive amounts of
quantitative easing being somewhat successful in buying up government
debt and helping reverse the nation's decades-old deflationary cycle,garage equipments as
well as weaken the yen and give a lift to export-dependent Japan, which
relies on a weak yen to boost profits made overseas when repatriated
into the Japanese currency.He added, however, that the realization of
structural reform would be where the true miracle lies and, as yet, this
remains to be seen.Abe's has embarked on an ambitious plan to revamp
Japan's healthcare industry, energy industries and the IT industry in a
bid to ensure a sustained economic growth through the waning effects of
quantitative easing and beyond the inevitable downturn sparked by an
increase in consumption tax that will curb consumer appetite to spend in
the short term.Other endeavors include plans to augment engineering
companies' abilities to export nuclear and high speed train technology
abroad, as well as actively increase the number of female workers that
comprise Japan's soon-to-be-dwindling labor force.The latter, recently
dubbed "Womenomics," reflects a growing belief that female workers could
be the key to the success of Japan's economic future.Abe has publicly
stated that females in this country are Japan' s most "underused
resource" and this demographic must be tapped for the future good of the
country's economy.For this to happen there needs to be a huge
ideological shift, right through the core consciousness of Japan Inc. --
the traditionally conservative domain of men -- and the lure of
managerial-level positions in companies for women for this to take
place. This, however, could be a paradigmatic shift in Japan's workplace
that some economists and sociologists think could take decades.
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